Looks like CD 3 continues to heat up in Arizona
Posted by: Dana
Congressional district 3 is gaining a LOT of attention locally and nationally. If you look at the numbers it is going to be an uphill battle. The registration numbers are:
Republican: 185,223
Democrat: 120, 144
Independent: 119,297
What is fascinating about this race is there is Bob Lord a Democrat, Annie Loyd and Independent and Shadegg the Republican who may be in trouble. Annie is a very dynamic woman but has not raised a lot of money. She takes bold strong position on the issues and I must disclose I consider her a friend. Then you have Lord an attorney who is raising a lot of money. Annie has a lot of great volunteers and is all about grass roots and a strong message of change. She got in the race for all the right reasons. She is running as an independent which is really difficult with the lopsided numbers. There is no party behind her but a lot of dedicated people.
Lord has the money and the organization behind him. He has done all the right things. It is going to be difficult for either of them to win with both of them in it to win it. Call it what it is - the Nader factor. All of the key Democrats are working hard to raise money for Lord. It is what it is!
This is one race that I am watching and staying on the sidelines. It has been hard and now that this new poll has come out showing Shadegg vulnerable things are going to heat up.
A glimpse of what the poll says…
Despite winning seven consecutive elections to Congress and representing this district for 13 years, John Shadegg does not have a well-defined image among his constituents.
Only three out of five voters in the district (62 percent) could identify Shadegg by name. Just one in four voters (25 percent) said they have warm or favorable feelings about Shadegg, while nearly as many (22 percent) said they have cool or unfavorable feelings about him. To put this in perspective, there are more voters who cannot identify Shadegg than there are that rate him favorably.
More evidence of Shadegg’s vulnerability is the number of voters who are presently inclined to re-elect him. Currently, only two out of five voters (39 percent) say they will vote to re-elect John Shadegg, while nearly as many (38 percent) say they will vote for someone else. What should be most alarming to a 13-year incumbent is that only one in eight voters (13 percent) say they will definitely vote to re-elect Shadegg. You can read a 3-page memo on the poll here:http://politickeraz.com/files/politickeraz/AZ03Poll_0.pdfI am going to keep an eye on this race. Who would have thought CD 3 would be in play in 2008! 2008 is not a boring year for this dem diva!
4 Comments
Comments RSS TrackBack Identifier URI
Leave a comment
i’ve been following this race closely, and i don’t know where you are getting your information about big republicans raising for bob lord? i think you mean big democrats. (janet napolitano, jim pederson, phil gordon, etc…) are raising money and standing behind lord’s campaign.
annie seems like a nice person, but with no money and no serious organization behind her all she can do is spoil it for democrats and the progressive movement. now that progressives have a serious candidate in bob lord, she should do the gracious thing and step aside. she has the opportunity to be a hero and become a serious political voice. otherwise, she is going to be remembered as a trivial politico who was either too arrogant or too stupid to see what she was costing the district and her state.
You will get a lot more traction and credibility if you take the time to spell your posts correctly. Your writing is virtually illiterate. You even spell Shadegg’s name wrong and say that the Republicans are raising money for Lord. Nothing could be further from the truth.
You MUST learn how to spell if you want anyone to read your posts and take you seriously,
I saw this poll yesterday and I am one of the 38 percent that “will vote for someone else.” I used to be a moderate Republican, but I don’t identify with that party anymore. I think that’s the case with most Republicans in our district. I since have become an independent.
I have to say, I’m pulling for Lord and so are a lot of people because he reflects my views. After reading about him, you know he’s in it for the right reasons and he has a lot of money coming into this. He can do it and like a lot of independents out there, my vote is going for Bob Lord.
CD 3 and others I just fixed the post. Sorry for the confusion I did mean Democrats and corrected it as well as the spelling errors. I was in a hurry and posted it before a second edit and spell check. Will focus a little more next time. As least now I know people visit and read what we have to say! Thanks for sharing your thoughts!