It’s a dry denial

29 Dec 2015 02:46 pm
Posted by: Donna

I had to interrupt my holiday blogging hiatus to bring you the “Journalist Year in Review” segment from Channel 8 Horizon.

Arizona Republic columnist Laurie Roberts, AZ Capitol Media Service’s Howie Fischer, and KJZZ host Steve Goldstein were asked for their prognostications for 2016, with the winning scores being tallied at the end of next year. The first questions were about the Presidency: who would win their respective party nominations and then the general elections. The three panelists differed on who would win the GOP nod, with Roberts picking Rubio, Fischer Cruz, and Goldstein going with Jeb Bush. All three believe the GOP nominee will prevail narrowly in the electoral college, though Roberts suggested that a third party run by Trump could derail that.

Only white people living in a very rarefied Phoenix establishment bubble could express the kind of confidence this panel did in a GOP victory in 2016. Fischer thinks Cruz(!) will win because Democrats won’t show up to vote for “damaged goods” Hillary Clinton (despite her being about the most popular politician there is among Dem voters). Goldstein thinks Jeb will win Florida and Ohio. Laurie Roberts seemed to be expressing her own wishful thinking when she predicted that Marco Rubio would be swept to 287 electoral votes through his “electability” and because terrorism will be the number one concern of voters throughout 2016.

To be clear, I’m not suggesting the eventual Democratic nominee (who I think will be Hillary but not a single primary vote has been cast yet) is going to have an easy time of it. I’m just saying it takes an incredible level of denial of the demographic changes that have taken place in America to think the GOP will even eke out a win for the weak reasons the Horizon panel offered. The GOP could win, but not without employing a whole bunch of voter suppression and other dirty tricks.

Remember that George W. Bush – the amiable guy you wanted to have a beer with – didn’t even win the popular vote in 2000, in a much more demographically favorable electorate for Republicans and after Al Gore had been reduced to a stiff, boring, beige liberal caricature by the MSM.


  1. Comment by Timmys Cat on January 2, 2016 3:37 pm

    elephant in the room

    n. A very large issue that everyone is acutely aware of, but nobody wants to talk about. Perhaps a sore spot, perhaps politically incorrect, or perhaps a political hot potato, it’s something that no one wants to touch with a ten foot pole.

    Ahh, is that what undercover GOP enablers call themselves? Journalists?
    Chiropractors and M.D.’s are both doctors right?

    These pre-programmed journamamilists smugly seem to assume that the White Big Daddy god of the way things should be will step in and take care of reality and its sceery fact.:

    A very wealthy bigot and misogynist has stirred the GOP sewer they call their base and not only brought it to the forefront of the GOP primary run, he keeps stirring ever deeper as his popularity rises.
    With his wealth and seemingly unstoppable momentum, the dredging of true heart of the GOP to continuous national scrutiny may be just beginning.
    He has a serious chance at the nomination and he hasn’t really spent a lot of money on campaigning yet.
    The worst part is the Gooper base doesn’t give a flying F what Very Serious People think or say. Their irrelevancy is in danger of being exposed. What’s more, both White gods Big Daddy and Big Money seem to be losing control over this much larger and more dangerous rabid base.
    Sooo, if you are a confused and nervous re-framer of Big Daddy memos then you put yourself in Assume mode and carry on as usual. Put that “I’ve thought this through seriously” look on your face and pick from column Not That Other Guy.
    Ted Cruz?! Rubio?!
    Even suggesting one of these two has a chance shows which team these light weights are willing to take one for.

    S’interesting. The front runner of the party of so called business smarts and family values is a guy who is on his third marriage and made a fortune from gambling and casinos. Most of which have gone bankrupt.

    Yeah, yeah. I know.
    Bill Clinton got a blow job.

  2. Comment by Timmys Cat on January 4, 2016 10:15 am

    Too also and, I think this the mindset of the Republican gentry like Ms. Roberts:

    whistle-past-the-graveyard. Verb. (idiomatic, US) To attempt to stay cheerful in a dire situation; to proceed with a task, ignoring an upcoming hazard, hoping for a good outcome.

    I was watchin’ the snooze this AM and the video of the so called militia in Oregon came on. I saw all the burly guys with their cute outdoorsy, lumberjacky thing going on. All I could think of was THIS.

  3. Comment by Donna on January 4, 2016 3:27 pm

    Hey TC,

    So true. This is behind a paywall but Cap Times is desperate for you to think everything’s come up roses and prosperity is right around the corner in AZ under Doug Ducey.

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